| 摘要: |
| 本文描述了断言信度偏差,规则强度偏差,断言可靠度,规则可靠度,二级不确定性等概念,给出了处理信度偏差与规则强度偏差的推理方法和具有两级不确定性(可信度,可靠度)的推理模型,本文还对参与协作的诸ES所输出的结论的评价方法进行了讨论。 |
| 关键词: |
| DOI： |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:国家“七五”重点科技攻关项目75—68—5—3;; 国家自然科学基金项目B6874002资助 |
|
| A REASONING MODEL FOR INTEGRATION TWO LEVELS OF UNCERTAINTY |
|
Liu Dayou,Zhong Shaochun,GaoYaqing
|
| Abstract: |
| In this paper,we describe the deviation of confidence factor about an assertion,the rule intensity deviation, the assertion reliability (the reliable degree about an assertion), the rule reliability (the reliable degree of a rule) ,and the level two uncertainty. Based on these concepts we present an inference method that can deal with the deviation of confidence factor about assertions and the rule intensity deviations,a new reasoning model which integrates the two levels of uncertainty (the confidence factor and the reliable degree).Adiscussion about the evaluation of conclusions given by the cooperative ESs is also in progress in this paper. |
| Key words: |
